rupee depreciation

Rupee depreciation is India’s oil warning

The rupee depreciation is not just about higher crude prices, it is also about Hormuz disruption, thin inventories, and a risk-off global dollar cycle. #rupee Read more »
oil

Indian economy needs a hard oil shield

Oil shocks are no longer episodic events but structural strategic risks, and India should design a whole-of-system energy security framework. #oil #crude Read more »
RBI dividends

RBI dividend windfall cannot replace fiscal reform

Record RBI dividends and bond purchases have eased India’s fiscal arithmetic, but central bank support cannot be treated as a permanent source of comfort. #RBI #dividend Read more »
Iran conflict

Iran conflict exposes India’s oil and trade vulnerabilities

India’s dependence on imported crude and Gulf-linked gas leaves the economy exposed to a wider Iran conflict through several channels at once. #Iran #energy Read more »
Modi-Trump summit, India-US trade

India-US trade framework must be renegotiated after Supreme Court ruling

The India-US trade framework eased immediate pressure on exporters, but the real story now is whether India uses its improved leverage to secure fairer and durable terms. #India #US #trade Read more »
iran conflict global economy

Iran conflict will accelerate the global shift away from oil

The market panic over Iran conflict is understandable, but the bigger story is the rising cost of dependence on oil chokepoints and concentrated energy supplies. Read more »
Economic impact of Iran conflict

Iran conflict could trigger a global energy shock

The Iran conflict is no longer just a security crisis, it could disrupt energy flows and shake the world economy. Read more »
REBUILDING US manufacturing capability

US manufacturing: Why Trump tariffs and protectionism may misfire

Trump’s tariffs may raise barriers, but they cannot rebuild US manufacturing capability, skills, and supplier ecosystems. Read more »
India’s GDP series, GDP base year reset

GDP base year reset to 2022-23: What changes, what doesn’t

As India’s GDP base year resets to 2022-23, here’s what changes in deflators, data sources, and interpretation. #GDP Read more »
GDP growth

GDP growth slowdown: Base effect or deeper signal?

The key risk to India’s FY26 GDP growth is not slowdown in one quarter, but uneven public capital expenditure and weak external demand. #GDP Read more »