economic growth under the new GDP series india

New GDP series lifts growth outlook, but oil and trade risks persist

India’s FY27 growth may land in the 7-7.4% range under the new GDP series, but the question is whether that growth is broad-based and job rich. Read more »
Uttar Pradesh Budget 2026-27

Rupee depreciation is India’s oil warning

The rupee depreciation is not just about higher crude prices, it is also about Hormuz disruption, thin inventories, and a risk-off global dollar cycle. #rupee Read more »
iran conflict

Why a post-Khamenei Iran may resist US designs

The clerical order if the Islamic Republic may fall, but a friendly regime in post-Khamenei Iran remains the least likely outcome. Read more »
RBI dividends

RBI dividend windfall cannot replace fiscal reform

Record RBI dividends and bond purchases have eased India’s fiscal arithmetic, but central bank support cannot be treated as a permanent source of comfort. #RBI #dividend Read more »
oil demand unaffected despite attempts at energy transition

Iran conflict exposes India’s oil and trade vulnerabilities

India’s dependence on imported crude and Gulf-linked gas leaves the economy exposed to a wider Iran conflict through several channels at once. #Iran #energy Read more »
smartphone PLI, Mobile phone manufacturing

Smartphone PLI must now move beyond assembly

India’s smartphone PLI delivered export growth, but domestic value addition stayed shallow, and the next phase must reward localisation. #PLI Read more »
Economic impact of Iran conflict

Iran conflict could trigger a global energy shock

The Iran conflict is no longer just a security crisis, it could disrupt energy flows and shake the world economy. Read more »
India’s ageing population

India’s ageing population demands a universal pension plan

India’s ageing population is rising steadily, but pension coverage remains shallow in a labour market where informal work still dominates. Read more »
REBUILDING US manufacturing capability

US manufacturing: Why Trump tariffs and protectionism may misfire

Trump’s tariffs may raise barriers, but they cannot rebuild US manufacturing capability, skills, and supplier ecosystems. Read more »
India’s GDP series, GDP base year reset

GDP base year reset to 2022-23: What changes, what doesn’t

As India’s GDP base year resets to 2022-23, here’s what changes in deflators, data sources, and interpretation. #GDP Read more »