iran conflict

Why a post-Khamenei Iran may resist US designs

The clerical order if the Islamic Republic may fall, but a friendly regime in post-Khamenei Iran remains the least likely outcome. Read more »
RBI dividends

RBI dividend windfall cannot replace fiscal reform

Record RBI dividends and bond purchases have eased India’s fiscal arithmetic, but central bank support cannot be treated as a permanent source of comfort. #RBI #dividend Read more »
oil demand unaffected despite attempts at energy transition

Iran conflict exposes India’s oil and trade vulnerabilities

India’s dependence on imported crude and Gulf-linked gas leaves the economy exposed to a wider Iran conflict through several channels at once. #Iran #energy Read more »
smartphone PLI, Mobile phone manufacturing

Smartphone PLI must now move beyond assembly

India’s smartphone PLI delivered export growth, but domestic value addition stayed shallow, and the next phase must reward localisation. #PLI Read more »
Economic impact of Iran conflict

Iran conflict could trigger a global energy shock

The Iran conflict is no longer just a security crisis, it could disrupt energy flows and shake the world economy. Read more »
India’s ageing population

India’s ageing population demands a universal pension plan

India’s ageing population is rising steadily, but pension coverage remains shallow in a labour market where informal work still dominates. Read more »
REBUILDING US manufacturing capability

US manufacturing: Why Trump tariffs and protectionism may misfire

Trump’s tariffs may raise barriers, but they cannot rebuild US manufacturing capability, skills, and supplier ecosystems. Read more »
India’s GDP series, GDP base year reset

GDP base year reset to 2022-23: What changes, what doesn’t

As India’s GDP base year resets to 2022-23, here’s what changes in deflators, data sources, and interpretation. #GDP Read more »
GDP growth

GDP growth slowdown: Base effect or deeper signal?

The key risk to India’s FY26 GDP growth is not slowdown in one quarter, but uneven public capital expenditure and weak external demand. #GDP Read more »
solar module manufacturing

India’s solar module manufacturing boom meets US tariff wall

ALMM, tech upgrades, and financing-led exports will shape India’s solar module manufacturing future after the 126% US countervailing duty. #solarmodule Read more »